Ethics as Prediction

Prediction involves collecting sensory input, processing it with abstraction to produce usable data, analyzing the data to find similarities and differences, correlating the analysis with past data and analysis, then attempting to extrapolate trends and synthesize conclusions, and finally, to put all of this into a format that makes sense and can be output and shared.

We notice and measure prediction ability in levels of human intelligence. We also notice and measure the ability to predict in the accumulation of knowledge and steady progress of science and technology. And while ethical analysis may be the most important form of prediction, we often fail to notice it in this way and rarely measure it as predictive analysis. But ethical analysis and the scientific method both use prediction of the future as a core engine process.

Ethical analysis involves an assessment of current conditions, then establishing choice options, predicting how each choice option can effect future conditions, how desirable each of those outcomes will be and finally attempting to make an action decision based on this analysis.

Strong AI
Beyond Turing
… other topics in “Ethics”

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